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关于Bayes Rule Calculations
贝叶斯规则或贝叶斯定理计算变得容易。
This application helps use Bayes' Rule to compute the probability P(H|B+E) that a hypothesis H is true given background information B and new evidence E. You need to know (1) P(H|B), the "prior" probability of H given B; (2) P(E|B+H), the probability of E given B and H; and (3) P(E|B-H), the probability of E given B and not H. If you can only guess these values, the "Range" tab allows you to give minimum and maximum values for each quantity. In return, it gives the minimum and maximum values of P(H|B+E).
This app is based on Richard Carrier's discussion at http://www.richardcarrier.info/CarrierDec08.pdf. However, the author is not affiliated with Dr. Carrier.
最新版本3.1的更新日志
Last updated on 2018年02月26日
Updated to indicate that app is end-of-life and to recommend alternatives.
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Bayes Rule Calculations历史版本
Bayes Rule Calculations 3.1
79.4 KB2018年02月26日
Bayes Rule Calculations 2.3
82.1 KB2016年05月12日
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